Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

❓

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

23 comments

29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

7 comments

34 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance

4 comments

29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

15 comments

93 forecasters

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

1 comment

17 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura31%

AMEC30%

2 comments

32 forecasters

What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?

community

3.29

result

3.13

0 comments

45 forecasters

What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?

Latest estimate

5.52%

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments

18 forecasters

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

8%chance

4 comments

32 forecasters

What will be the final value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2023?

community

57.8

result

59.2