Will the United States be the largest economy in the world by nominal GDP in 2100?5% chance244 comments77 forecasters5%chance
What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?3.29 (3.14 - 3.44)222 comments3232 forecastersResolved3.13
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?82323 comments2929 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?711 comment2525 forecasters
What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?5.52% (4.15 - 7.95)50 comments4545 forecasters5.52% (4.15 - 7.95)
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?result: no255 comments2020 forecastersResolvedNo
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?61717 comments2828 forecasters
Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?55% chance44 comments1111 forecasters55%chance
What will USA's GDP/c growth rate be in 2020-2029?1.89 (1.34 - 2.53)131212 comments4343 forecasters1.89 (1.34 - 2.53)
What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?466 comments1111 forecasters
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?33 comments116116 forecasters
When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?21 Aug 2028 (08 Mar 2026 - May 2032)192020 comments9595 forecasters21 Aug 2028 (08 Mar 2026 - May 2032)
How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?81313 comments3636 forecasters
Will Sam Hammond win his bet with John Luttig that US GDP growth will average above 5% from 2028 to 2033?15% chance0 comments1414 forecasters15%chance
When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?Oct 2034 (09 Mar 2030 - Sep 2041)1611 comment2929 forecastersOct 2034 (09 Mar 2030 - Sep 2041)
What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?22 comments55 forecasters
What will be the final value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2023?57.8 (56.9 - 58.8)244 comments3232 forecastersResolved59.2
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033? → Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?122 comments88 forecasters