Will annualized U.S. consumption growth from 2030-2035 exceed 8% (with appropriate adjustments for quality changes, home production, and zero-cost goods and services)?0 comments%chance
What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?3.29 (3.14 - 3.44)222 comments3232 forecasters3.29 (3.14 - 3.44)
What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?5.52% (4.15 - 7.95)50 comments4545 forecasters5.52% (4.15 - 7.95)
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?711 comment2424 forecasters
How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?81313 comments3636 forecasters
What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?21717 comments3030 forecasters
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?82323 comments2929 forecasters
Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?50.1% chance44 comments1313 forecasters50.1%chance
What will US house prices be in December 2030?1.95 (1.6 - 2.49)81212 comments2727 forecasters1.95 (1.6 - 2.49)
Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?33 comments104104 forecasters
What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?466 comments1111 forecasters
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?result: no255 comments2020 forecastersResolvedNo
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?61717 comments2727 forecasters
What will be the final value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2023?57.8 (56.9 - 58.8)244 comments3232 forecasters57.8 (56.9 - 58.8)
Will Sam Hammond win his bet with John Luttig that US GDP growth will average above 5% from 2028 to 2033?20% chance0 comments2121 forecasters20%chance
Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041?63% chance595151 comments435435 forecasters63%chance
What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?22 comments55 forecasters
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033? → Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?122 comments88 forecasters
US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?20 comments1313 forecasters
US Hyperinflation Before 2050 → 10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities10 comments99 forecasters