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Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

7
11 comment
24
24 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

8
1313 comments
36
36 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

13% chance

2
77 comments
38
38 forecasters
13%chance

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

8
2323 comments
29
29 forecasters

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

2
1717 comments
30
30 forecasters

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

14
1919 comments
102
102 forecasters

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

9
1111 comments

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

33 comments
104
104 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
27
27 forecasters

What will be the exchange rate for the Swedish Krona (SEK) to the US Dollar (USD) on June 30, 2024?

10.6 (10.3 - 11.1)

22 comments
15
15 forecasters
10.6
(10.3 - 11.1)

Will the exchange rate for the Swedish Krona (SEK) to the US Dollar (USD) be lower than 11.5 on June 30, 2024?

67% chance

33 comments
4
4 forecasters
Annulled

What will be the global Trade Openness Index in the following years?

3
11 comment
3
3 forecasters

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

22 comments
5
5 forecasters

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

1
44 comments
6
6 forecasters

Long Bets series: Will Private Nonfarm business productivity growth average over 1.8 percent per year from the first quarter (Q1) of 2020 to the last quarter of 2029 (Q4)?

50% chance

2
99 comments
17
17 forecasters
50%chance

US Hyperinflation Before 2050 โ†’ 10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

1
0 comments
9
9 forecasters

Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting โ†’ US unemployment after next market crash

1
0 comments
1
1 forecaster

What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?

14.1 (11.6 - 16.8)

7
99 comments
28
28 forecasters
14.1
(11.6 - 16.8)

Two Theories of Inflation

25
1010 comments

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
11 comment

Equity Premium Puzzles

14
0 comments

Erik Hoel & Claimed Public Figure Pages

6
0 comments

Monetary Policy in 2050

10
11 comment