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US Democracy Index

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What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

1 comment

18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura35%

Nata30%

7 comments

35 forecasters

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

22%chance

4 comments

29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

10 comments

67 forecasters

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

2%chance

2% this week

23 comments

29 forecasters

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

0 comments

49 forecasters

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

19 comments

96 forecasters

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

15 comments

23 forecasters

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

15 comments

23 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

Will the U.S. presidential administration alter or delay the public release of a major federal economic indicator in the following years?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?