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14.9%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

44 forecasters

38%chance

95 forecasters

33 forecasters

78 forecasters

Current estimate

7.11%

29 forecasters

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes

UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No

UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No

35 forecasters

22%chance

117 forecasters

94%chance

49 forecasters

402 forecasters

Current estimate

9.54%