Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No

VVDresult: No

PvdA-GLresult: No

9 comments

13 forecasters

Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

84%chance

5% this week

Key Factors

5 comments

81 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance

Key Factors

1 comment

12 forecasters

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

90%chance

4% this week

52 comments

93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%

North Macedonia87.5%

Albania85%

1 comment

11 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?

Zack Polanskiresult: Yes

Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns23.2%

21 comments

58 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer23%

Andy Burnham15%

Lisa Nandy10%

4 comments

79 forecasters

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

0.1%chance

68 comments

112 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

Labourresult: 411

Conservativeresult: 121

Liberal Democratresult: 72

2 comments

38 forecasters

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

resultYes