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Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

45%chance

15% this week

1 comment

11 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?

Zack Polanskiresult: Yes

Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns23.2%

20 comments

65 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner25%

Keir Starmer23%

Andy Burnham15.5%

52 comments

93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%

North Macedonia87.5%

Albania85%

7 comments

41 forecasters

Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?

resultNo

11 comments

75 forecasters

Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member?

resultYes

5 comments

70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments

64 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

73 comments

69 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the May 2025 Romanian election?

George Simionresult: Yes

Nicușor Dan22.9%

Someone else14.9%

3 comments

24 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Brothers of Italy74%

Democratic Party24%

Five Star Movement1%