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5 comments
59 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

9%chance
5% this week
21 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer23%
Andy Burnham15%
Rachel Reeves10%
9 comments
13 forecasters

Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

74%chance
9% this week
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
3% this week
1 comment
11 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?

Zack Polanskiresult: Yes
Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns23.2%
5 comments
46 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
5 comments
70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate
48

This question is closed for forecasting.

7 comments
41 forecasters

Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?

resultNo
10 comments
65 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

11 comments
75 forecasters

Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member?

resultYes