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8
comments
10
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
22%
chance
7%
today
1
comment
45
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
40%
José Antonio Kast
37%
Evelyn Matthei
9%
5 others
5
comments
60
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
10%
chance
4%
this week
21
comments
90
forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?
Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Rachel Reeves
10%
6 others
13
comments
11
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?
ANO 2011
result:
80
seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)
result:
27
seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)
result:
22
seats
8 others
7
comments
63
forecasters
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?
7%
chance
3%
this week
16
comments
39
forecasters
Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?
Luisa González
result:
No
Daniel Noboa Azín
result:
Yes
Xavier Hervas
result:
No
5 others
Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
10
comments
8
forecasters
If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:
Islámský extremismus
46.2%
Pravicový extremismus
43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
6.4%
1 other
4%
5
comments
70
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
5
comments
47
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
51%
chance
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