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20
comments
65
forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?
Angela Rayner
25%
Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15.5%
6 others
5
comments
38
forecasters
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?
45%
chance
Contributed by the
Odborný Predikční Tým
community.
10
comments
8
forecasters
If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:
Islámský extremismus
46.2%
Pravicový extremismus
43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus
6.4%
1 other
4%
52
comments
93
forecasters
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
96%
North Macedonia
87.5%
Albania
85%
17 others
7
comments
41
forecasters
Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?
result
No
11
comments
75
forecasters
Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member?
result
Yes
0
comments
13
forecasters
Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?
35%
chance
10
comments
64
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?
83
comments
79
forecasters
Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?
result
No
5
comments
70
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
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