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20 comments
65 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner25%
Keir Starmer23%
Andy Burnham15.5%
5 comments
38 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

45%chance

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

10 comments
8 forecasters

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%
Pravicový extremismus43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%
52 comments
93 forecasters

Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?

Montenegro96%
North Macedonia87.5%
Albania85%
7 comments
41 forecasters

Will the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest be won by a country that is, at the time, also a member of the European Union?

resultNo
11 comments
75 forecasters

Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member?

resultYes
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?

35%chance
10 comments
64 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

83 comments
79 forecasters

Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?

resultNo
5 comments
70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate
48

This question is closed for forecasting.