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8 comments
10 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance
7% today
1 comment
45 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara40%
José Antonio Kast37%
Evelyn Matthei9%
5 comments
60 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

10%chance
4% this week
21 comments
90 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer23%
Andy Burnham15%
Rachel Reeves10%
13 comments
11 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

ANO 2011result: 80 seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
3% this week
16 comments
39 forecasters

Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?

Luisa Gonzálezresult: No
Daniel Noboa Azínresult: Yes
Xavier Hervasresult: No

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

10 comments
8 forecasters

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus46.2%
Pravicový extremismus43%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus6.4%
5 comments
70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate
48

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
47 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

51%chance