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0
comments
2
forecasters
Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
24%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
15%
5 others
10
comments
13
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
65%
José Antonio Kast
27.5%
Evelyn Matthei
3.5%
5 others
8
comments
13
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
25%
chance
Key Factors
Domestic politics – election outcomes and party coalitions shape chances of calling a referenduum.
Public opinion – persistent skepticism may pressure politicians to promise a referendum.
EU dynamics – stronger integration pressures could trigger domestic pushback via referendum.
5
comments
88
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
4%
chance
Key Factors
German stance
Fractured parliament and weak government in France
U.S. nuclear umbrella uncertainty
13
comments
11
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?
ANO 2011
result:
80
seats
Civic Democratic Party (ODS)
result:
27
seats
Mayors and Independents (STAN)
result:
22
seats
8 others
9
comments
28
forecasters
Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?
NSC
result:
No
VVD
result:
No
PvdA-GL
result:
No
4 others
2
comments
34
forecasters
Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?
EPP
result:
Yes
S&D
result:
No
ID
result:
No
4 others
2
comments
38
forecasters
Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?
result
Yes
0
comments
1
forecaster
Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?
Annulled
52
comments
27
forecasters
When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?
00
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