• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

14
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

2 comments
12 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

0 comments
88 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

26 comments
121 forecasters

Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?

Morgan Pope35.7%
Ava Pearl21.1%
Keanu Soto14.4%
0 comments
7 forecasters

How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?

202551.7
202649.6
202749
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

0 comments
9 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?