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What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6.1% (5.5 - 6.8)

0 comments
6
6 forecasters
6.1%
(5.5 - 6.8)

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

8
0 comments

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

-7 seats (-15 - -1)

3
1414 comments
71
71 forecasters
-7 seats
(-15 - -1)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?

6.6% (6.4 - 6.8)

1
22 comments
10
10 forecasters
Resolved6.4%

Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District?

4
88 comments
18
18 forecasters

Will the U.S. Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026?

8% chance

11 comment
13
13 forecasters
8%chance

How many Article III appellate judges will be confirmed by the US Senate in 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
30
30 forecasters

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

10
44 comments

Will Donald Trump be impeached for a third time, conditional on control of Congress?

2
0 comments
43
43 forecasters

What will be the US National Science Foundation discretionary budget for the 2028 fiscal year, conditional on control of Congress?

22 comments
29
29 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?

13
1616 comments
419
419 forecasters

What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
30
30 forecasters

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

13
55 comments
129
129 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states?

1
0 comments
44
44 forecasters

Will a bill limiting presidential tariff authority pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
35
35 forecasters

Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on January 20, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
38
38 forecasters

Will a bill restricting federal abortion funding or access pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
35
35 forecasters

Will the U.S. Congress limit presidential war powers before January 3, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?

0 comments
38
38 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

19
2828 comments
565
565 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

15
122122 comments
168
168 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

1
0 comments
98
98 forecasters

Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

11 comment
36
36 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on May 14, 2026?

5.82% (4.92 - 6.35)

33 comments
19
19 forecasters
Resolved6.3%

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
106
106 forecasters