What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?6.1% (5.5 - 6.8)0 comments66 forecasters6.1% (5.5 - 6.8)
What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?-7 seats (-15 - -1)31414 comments7171 forecasters-7 seats (-15 - -1)
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?6.6% (6.4 - 6.8)122 comments1010 forecastersResolved6.4%
Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District?488 comments1818 forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026?8% chance11 comment1313 forecasters8%chance
How many Article III appellate judges will be confirmed by the US Senate in 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3030 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be impeached for a third time, conditional on control of Congress?20 comments4343 forecasters
What will be the US National Science Foundation discretionary budget for the 2028 fiscal year, conditional on control of Congress?22 comments2929 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?131616 comments419419 forecasters
What will be the final value of the U.S. Democracy Threat Index for 2027-2028, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3030 forecasters
Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?1355 comments129129 forecasters
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states?10 comments4444 forecasters
Will a bill limiting presidential tariff authority pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3535 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on January 20, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3838 forecasters
Will a bill restricting federal abortion funding or access pass both chambers of the 120th Congress, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3535 forecasters
Will the U.S. Congress limit presidential war powers before January 3, 2029, conditional on control of Congress?0 comments3838 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?192828 comments565565 forecasters
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?15122122 comments168168 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?10 comments9898 forecasters
Which party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?11 comment3636 forecasters
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on May 14, 2026?5.82% (4.92 - 6.35)33 comments1919 forecastersResolved6.3%
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?0 comments106106 forecasters