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1 comment
45 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara40%
José Antonio Kast37%
Evelyn Matthei9%
35 comments
37 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
55 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
15 comments
16 forecasters

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

00
418 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
0 comments
47 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?

13 comments
35 forecasters

Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?

10%chance
584 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No