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35
comments
37
forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)
result:
No
Barack Obama
result:
No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)
result:
No
8 others
1
comment
45
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
44%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
10%
5 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
15
comments
16
forecasters
When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?
00
584
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
result:
Yes
Joe Biden
result:
No
Gavin Newsom
result:
No
13 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
238
comments
223
forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?
J.D. Vance
result:
Yes
Vivek Ramaswamy
result:
No
Donald Trump Jr.
result:
No
26 others
143
comments
212
forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?
Tim Walz
result:
Yes
Gina Raimondo
result:
No
Jeff Jackson
result:
No
16 others
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