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0 comments
2 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming
IowaUpcoming
MaineUpcoming
12 comments
13 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: Yes
José Antonio Kastresult: No
Evelyn Mattheiresult: No
35 comments
37 forecasters

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No
418 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Current estimate
15.4 votes
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
238 comments
223 forecasters

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

J.D. Vanceresult: Yes
Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No
Donald Trump Jr.result: No
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
1 comment
17 forecasters

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party54%
Republican Party45.9%
Other0.1%

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index