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0
comments
2
forecasters
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?
Georgia
Upcoming
Iowa
Upcoming
Maine
Upcoming
6 others
12
comments
13
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
result:
Yes
José Antonio Kast
result:
No
Evelyn Matthei
result:
No
5 others
35
comments
37
forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)
result:
No
Barack Obama
result:
No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)
result:
No
8 others
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
0
comments
3
forecasters
What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
15.4 votes
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
238
comments
223
forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?
J.D. Vance
result:
Yes
Vivek Ramaswamy
result:
No
Donald Trump Jr.
result:
No
26 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
1
comment
17
forecasters
Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
54%
Republican Party
45.9%
Other
0.1%
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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