0 comments
7 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
0 comments
3 forecasters
Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?
0 comments
4 forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
0 comments
4 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
2 comments
52 forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
25%chance
418 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
584 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No