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1
comment
3
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
Upcoming
José Antonio Kast
Upcoming
Evelyn Matthei
Upcoming
5 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
4
4
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38
comments
80
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
60%
2040
40%
2050
33%
0
comments
44
forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
584
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
result:
Yes
Joe Biden
result:
No
Gavin Newsom
result:
No
13 others
75
comments
172
forecasters
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
3%
chance
0
comments
43
forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
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