0 comments
8 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
418 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
7 comments
21 forecasters
Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache when elected?
20%chance
38 comments
64 forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
15 comments
15 forecasters
When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?
008 comments
25 forecasters