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Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

13

105

105 forecasters

Will any official weather station in India record air temperatures of at least 55.0°C (131.0°F) for three or more consecutive days before January 1, 2050?

65% chance

1

3

3 forecasters

65%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10% chance

35

294

294 forecasters

10%chance

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96% chance

3

39

39 forecasters

96%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1% chance

7

197

197 forecasters

1%chance

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

29

191

191 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

0.931 °C (0.898 - 0.98)

1

84

84 forecasters

Resolved0.91 °C

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

68% chance

5

28

28 forecasters

68%chance

What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

1.46 °C (1.41 - 1.5)

696

696 forecasters

1.46 °C

(1.41 - 1.5)

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

32.1B billion tonnes (20.5B - 42.9B)

2

23

23 forecasters

32.1B billion tonnes

(20.5B - 42.9B)

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

31% chance

4

17

17 forecasters

31%chance

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031? → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

2

5

5 forecasters

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

39% chance

11

54

54 forecasters

39%chance

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20% chance

20

146

146 forecasters

20%chance

How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?

1.29 (0.996 - 1.64)

4

34

34 forecasters

Resolved1.381

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030? → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

3

1

1 forecaster

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030 → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

3

5

5 forecasters

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

48.4 Gt CO₂e (42.7 - 55.5)

8

40

40 forecasters

48.4 Gt CO₂e

(42.7 - 55.5)

How many subscribers will the "environment" subreddit have on March 30, 2025?

<1.54M subscribers (<1.54M - 1.56M)

18

18 forecasters

Resolved1.549921M subscribers

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.83 (2.18 - 3.6)

17

17 forecasters

2.83

(2.18 - 3.6)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.7 (2.07 - 3.4)

-1

15

15 forecasters

2.7

(2.07 - 3.4)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.5 (2.01 - 3.17)

13

13 forecasters

2.5

(2.01 - 3.17)