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10 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.844 °C

Key Factors

1 comment
35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance
8 comments
144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance
condition

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2037

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053
3
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
2 comments
37 forecasters

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

Current estimate
45.6 Gt CO₂e
condition

EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?

Closed
4 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2046

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Aug 2045
2
11 comment
4
4 forecasters
40 comments
100 forecasters

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

20 comments
187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance