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10
comments
59
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.844 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
96%
chance
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
condition
China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Jan 2037
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2053
3
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
1
comment
28
forecasters
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?
66%
chance
2
comments
37
forecasters
How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?
Current estimate
45.6 Gt CO₂e
condition
EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?
Closed
4
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2046
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Aug 2045
2
1
1
comment
4
4
forecasters
40
comments
100
forecasters
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
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