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What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

1.49 °C (1.45 - 1.54)

700

700 forecasters

1.49 °C

(1.45 - 1.54)

Will any official weather station in India record air temperatures of at least 55.0°C (131.0°F) for three or more consecutive days before January 1, 2050?

80% chance

1

4

4 forecasters

80%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10% chance

36

294

294 forecasters

10%chance

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

29

191

191 forecasters

How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?

1.29 (0.996 - 1.64)

4

34

34 forecasters

Resolved1.381

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

0.931 °C (0.898 - 0.98)

1

84

84 forecasters

Resolved0.91 °C

The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change

10

How many subscribers will the "environment" subreddit have on March 30, 2025?

<1.54M subscribers (<1.54M - 1.56M)

18

18 forecasters

Resolved1.549921M subscribers

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.83 (2.18 - 3.6)

17

17 forecasters

2.83

(2.18 - 3.6)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.7 (2.07 - 3.4)

-1

15

15 forecasters

2.7

(2.07 - 3.4)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.5 (2.01 - 3.17)

13

13 forecasters

2.5

(2.01 - 3.17)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.65 (2.08 - 3.31)

12

12 forecasters

2.65

(2.08 - 3.31)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.62 (2.05 - 3.31)

14

14 forecasters

2.62

(2.05 - 3.31)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.6 (2.06 - 3.21)

13

13 forecasters

2.6

(2.06 - 3.21)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.64 (2.13 - 3.25)

2

2 forecasters

2.64

(2.13 - 3.25)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.8 (2.23 - 3.38)

1

1 forecaster

2.8

(2.23 - 3.38)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.95 (2.33 - 3.8)

1

1 forecaster

2.95

(2.33 - 3.8)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.78 (2.22 - 3.47)

2

2 forecasters

2.78

(2.22 - 3.47)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

2.95 (2.36 - 3.64)

2

2 forecasters

2.95

(2.36 - 3.64)

[PRACTICE] How much global warming by 2100?

Annulled

3

3 forecasters

Annulled

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

34.5B billion tonnes (23.1B - 44.1B)

2

24

24 forecasters

34.5B billion tonnes

(23.1B - 44.1B)

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030? → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

3

1

1 forecaster