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Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

The Colorado River and the Southwestern US Under Climate Change

9
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

31.8B
billion tonnes

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
condition

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2052

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Mar 2035
2
1 comment1

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

44.4
Gt CO₂e

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

2.5%chance