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26
comments
66
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.838 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
condition
Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Jul 2051
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Apr 2034
2
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
7
comments
194
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
condition
Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?
1
forecaster
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Oct 2060
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2053
3
4
4
comments
1
1
forecaster
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
1
comment
61
forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
0.1%
chance
8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
2
comments
17
forecasters
Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?
14%
chance
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