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9
comments
95
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 5 days
condition
Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
May 2052
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Oct 2036
2
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
20
comments
185
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
8
comments
143
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20%
chance
52
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
7
comments
194
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
2
comments
17
forecasters
Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?
14%
chance
8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
A Global Catastrophe This Century
24
2
2
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
condition
Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?
1
forecaster
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Oct 2060
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2053
3
4
4
comments
1
1
forecaster
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