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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
20 comments
184 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

52 comments
279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
7 comments
192 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance
8 comments
142 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%chance
condition

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2052

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2034
2
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
2 comments
17 forecasters

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

14%chance
condition

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Oct 2060

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053
3
44 comments
1
1 forecaster

A Global Catastrophe This Century

24
22 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
8 comments
16 forecasters

What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

1 comment
60 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?

0.1%chance