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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will Turkey record a temperature of 47°C or higher between June 18 and June 28, 2026?

result: no

11 comment
97
97 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

30% chance

4
33 comments
18
18 forecasters
30%chance

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031? → First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

2
11 comment
5
5 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10% chance

35
5252 comments
294
294 forecasters
10%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1% chance

7
77 comments
197
197 forecasters
1%chance

Space Sector ‘Greenification’

10
11 comment

Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress

12
0 comments

Biodiversity, Keystone Species, and E.O. Wilson's Half Earth

5
11 comment

The Climate Tipping Points Tournament

17
11 comment

Climate — Last Wave and $2,500 for Comments

9
55 comments

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
11 comment