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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta
0 comments
101 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia59.2%
Germany18.4%
Turkey17.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Latest estimate
0.873 °C

This question is closed for forecasting.

95 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

resultNo
1 comment
101 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia64.3%
Turkey19.9%
Germany12.8%
95 comments
87 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 18.80% on 2025-10-15 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

resultNo

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
9 comments
104 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.87 °C