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0 comments
95 forecasters

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

26 comments
66 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.831 °C

Key Factors

0 comments
96 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Latest estimate
2.44 countries

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
8 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate
0.987 countries

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
101 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Latest estimate
0.873 °C

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia59.2%
Germany18.4%
Turkey17.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

95 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?"?

resultNo