Will the UK Parliament approve the target to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 87 per cent by 2040?result: yes104104 comments107107 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the UK Parliament approve the target to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 87 per cent by 2040?result: yes33 comments77 forecastersResolvedYes
Will deaths during a heatwave in Texas reach these thresholds within a single 7-day period before 2032?11 comment66 forecasters
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?35% chance0 comments121121 forecasters35%chance
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?0 comments120120 forecasters
Will a daily global surface air temperature anomaly of at least +1.5°C above pre-industrial be recorded between June 1 and June 26, 2026 (per Copernicus Climate Pulse)?result: yes11 comment8888 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?20% chance293030 comments289289 forecasters20%chance
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?50% chance355 comments2121 forecasters50%chance
What will be the annual global economic cost of soil degradation in 2035?12.9T US$ (8.01T - 17T)22 comments88 forecasters12.9T US$ (8.01T - 17T)
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?25% chance242222 comments328328 forecasters25%chance
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?134747 comments105105 forecasters