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28
comments
74
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.936 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
1
comment
13
forecasters
Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?
61%
chance
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
96%
chance
3
comments
17
forecasters
Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?
32.4%
chance
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20%
chance
28
comments
289
forecasters
Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?
20%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
4
comments
11
forecasters
What will be the level of anthropogenic methane emissions in 2050?
Current estimate
10.2 GtCO2e/year
9
comments
110
forecasters
Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?
result
No
Key Factors
Warm Atlantic temperatures raise activity potential
Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season
La Niña absence reduces 2025 hurricane odds
52
comments
283
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
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