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US Democracy Index

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What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate

0.839 °C

Key Factors

0 comments

8 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate

0.987 countries

1 comment

28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance

0 comments

11 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18%chance

20 comments

187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

1 comment

35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance

8 comments

144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance

2 comments

37 forecasters

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

Current estimate

45.6 Gt CO₂e

condition

5 forecasters

1 comment

13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?