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26
comments
67
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.826 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
1
comment
28
forecasters
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?
66%
chance
0
comments
7
forecasters
When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?
Current estimate
2065 Year
0
comments
11
forecasters
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?
18%
chance
1
comment
13
forecasters
Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?
61%
chance
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
96%
chance
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
2
comments
24
forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?
Current estimate
33.8B billion tonnes
condition
China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Jan 2037
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2053
3
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
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