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26 comments
67 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.826 °C

Key Factors

20 comments
187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

Current estimate
2065 Year
0 comments
11 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18%chance
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance
1 comment
35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance
8 comments
144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance
2 comments
24 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

Current estimate
33.8B billion tonnes
condition

China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2037

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053
3
11 comment
5
5 forecasters