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28 comments
74 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.936 °C

Key Factors

20 comments
187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance
1 comment
35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance
3 comments
17 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

32.4%chance
8 comments
144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%chance
28 comments
289 forecasters

Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments
11 forecasters

What will be the level of anthropogenic methane emissions in 2050?

Current estimate
10.2 GtCO2e/year
9 comments
110 forecasters

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

resultNo

Key Factors

52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance