Will Anthropic file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before July 1, 2026?28% chance255 comments119119 forecasters28%chance
Before April 1, 2025, will Anthropic announce on the news section of its website that it is planning an IPO?result: no8282 comments2626 forecastersResolvedNo
Before July 1, 2025, will Anthropic announce that it is planning an IPO?result: no7777 comments7373 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high price before October 6, 2026?10% chance1111 comments6868 forecasters10%chance
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?167676 comments8585 forecasters
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?60% chance44 comments2828 forecasters60%chance
Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before Sept 15, 2024?60% chance11 comment55 forecastersAnnulled
Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before Sept 15, 2024?result: no16262 comments3636 forecastersResolvedNo
Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?133 comments9191 forecasters
Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024?result: no162323 comments114114 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025?result: no322 comments4040 forecastersResolvedNo
Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024?result: no333 comments112112 forecastersResolvedNo
Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?122 comments102102 forecasters
When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?Nov 2042 (Oct 2033 - Dec 2068)378080 comments265265 forecastersNov 2042 (Oct 2033 - Dec 2068)
Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024?result: no622 comments152152 forecastersResolvedNo
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?81% chance422 comments3636 forecasters81%chance
What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)4775 billion $ (3172 - 7051)71111 comments7070 forecasters4775 billion $ (3172 - 7051)
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?46% chance877 comments4444 forecasters46%chance
Will China remove the total ban on cryptocurrency before 2032?50% chance144 comments1717 forecasters50%chance
Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022?result: no142727 comments115115 forecastersResolvedNo
Will any remaining FTX depositor withdraw any amount of tradeable assets from FTX before 2023?61.8% chance64040 comments2424 forecastersAmbiguous
Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?67% chance91313 comments4040 forecasters67%chance