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85 comments
2.9k forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

20%chance
10% this week
7 comments
32 forecasters

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

56%chance
73 comments
97 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes
Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes
Gary Wangresult: Yes
5 comments
10 forecasters

How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?

Current estimate
72.7 months

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

3 comments
7 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

80%chance
19 comments
61 forecasters

When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?

Current estimate
>Dec 2030

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

1 comment
20 forecasters

Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?

89.7%chance
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025?

resultNo
90 comments
118 forecasters

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

Current estimate
299 months
3 comments
25 forecasters

Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?

10%chance