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85
comments
2.9k
forecasters
On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?
20%
chance
10%
this week
7
comments
32
forecasters
Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?
56%
chance
73
comments
97
forecasters
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
Sam Bankman-Fried
result:
Yes
Caroline Ellison
result:
Yes
Gary Wang
result:
Yes
2 others
5
comments
10
forecasters
How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?
Current estimate
72.7 months
Contributed by the
Adjacent
community.
3
comments
7
forecasters
Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?
80%
chance
19
comments
61
forecasters
When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481 (2021 USD)?
Current estimate
>Dec 2030
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
1
comment
20
forecasters
Will cryptocurrencies account for at least 1% of U.S. retail payments before January 1, 2035?
89.7%
chance
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025?
result
No
90
comments
118
forecasters
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?
Current estimate
299 months
3
comments
25
forecasters
Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
10%
chance
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