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83 comments
82 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 25.00% on 2025-09-09 for the Metaculus question "Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?"?

resultYes
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will a U.S. cabinet agency award a $100m firm benefit after a $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will DOJ or FTC approve a $5bn merger or acquisition after a related $1m expenditure to a group or cryptocurrency linked to the president in the following years?

4 comments
31 forecasters

Before 2032, will a G7 central bank or finance ministry credit an AI forecasting system as a key reason for a major preemptive policy action to avert a potential economic crisis or instability?

10%chance
3 comments
26 forecasters

On December 31, 2027, in how many countries will courts have enforced a judgment based on a decentralized arbitration platform decision?

169.6%
221.8%
3-44.9%
1 comment
25 forecasters

Before January 1, 2031, will a unified digital identity protocol enable interaction with at least three different governance frameworks (financial, legal, and civic)?

25%chance
5% this week
1 comment
34 forecasters

Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?

27%chance
85 comments
2.9k forecasters

On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?

20%chance
10% this week

Contributed by the A Dictator’s Diary: The Strategic Logic of Political Survival community.

0 comments

Will any Russian elites die under suspicious circumstances before December 1, 2025?

7 comments
32 forecasters

Will the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies exceed that of all mined gold before 2035?

56%chance