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1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4

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7
0 comments
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4
66 comments
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5 comments
15 forecasters

Will Adani Enterprises regain a total market cap of $50B before 2028?

20%chance

Join the Market Pulse Challenge: $7,500 in Prizes

30
22 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2
6 comments
41 forecasters

Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?

resultNo

Why I Reject the Comparison of Metaculus to Prediction Markets

1
0 comments

Two Theories of Inflation

25
1010 comments

Trading Plan for the Trade Signal Tournament

10
2828 comments
Trade Signal Tournament