0 comments
13 forecasters
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
95 forecasters
Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
8 forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.987 countries
0 comments
100 forecasters
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
5 comments
3 forecasters
Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?
74%chance
13 comments
58 forecasters
Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?
5%chance
Key Factors
0 comments
96 forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Latest estimate
2.44 countries
This question is closed for forecasting.
1 comment
31 forecasters
Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?
41%chance
13% this week