0 comments
95 forecasters
Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
100 forecasters
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
96 forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Latest estimate
2.44 countries
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
20 forecasters
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
5%chance
82 comments
2.1k forecasters
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
6%chance
6 comments
4 forecasters
Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?
74%chance