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0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 36 minutes
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

87%chance
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

19%
19%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
3
3 forecasters
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

31 comments
77 forecasters

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

resultNo
1 comment
100 forecasters

Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
21 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

20%chance
3 comments
48 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

29%chance
4.2% this week