Will FEWS NET classify any area of Sudan as experiencing Famine before 2027?28% chance288 comments9393 forecasters28%chance
What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?53636 comments133133 forecasters
Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?5% chance102525 comments310310 forecasters5%chance
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?19% chance1010 comments2121 forecasters19%chance
What will be the highest-level status of Russia–Ukraine hostilities and diplomacy on August 8, 2026?11 comment136136 forecasters
When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?81616 comments1616 forecasters
Will any personnel of the International Stabilization Force be deployed into Gaza before August 25, 2026?result: no122 comments1717 forecastersResolvedNo
China Disavows Force in Taiwan Reunification? → Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2035)133 comments1919 forecasters
Will China occupy Kinmen or Matsu before 2028? → Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?11 comment33 forecasters
Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031?41% chance99 comments4646 forecasters41%chance
Will the US carry out sustained or high-intensity attacks against Iran in these years leading up to 2032?233 comments1616 forecasters
Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?22% chance162273273 comments3.3k3.3k forecasters22%chance
When will be the first year without war?Dec 2062 (Oct 2040 - 2405)411 comment77 forecastersDec 2062 (Oct 2040 - 2405)
At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?75% chance10 comments3636 forecasters75%chance
If nuclear conflict occurs by 2030, will it start in the period June-September?34% chance51111 comments6161 forecasters34%chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?34% chance596969 comments531531 forecasters34%chance
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?29% chance291515 comments285285 forecasters29%chance
Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?36% chance244 comments1717 forecasters36%chance