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7 comments

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
0 comments

Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
1 comment
24 forecasters

Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?

28%chance
5% this week
0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
35 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

resultNo
14 comments
31 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out โ€œreactionaryโ€ air incursions into Taiwanโ€™s air defense identification zone?

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

resultYes
0 comments
2 forecasters

By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?

17.1%chance
17% this week