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Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment

1 forecaster

Will the following countries enact mandatory military service before 2040?

AustraliaUpcoming

BelgiumUpcoming

CanadaUpcoming

22 comments

48 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate

>2193 deaths

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments

25 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

33%chance

13% this week

82 comments

1.8k forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

2%chance

Key Factors

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

19%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

14%

1 1 comment

5 forecasters

164 comments

351 forecasters

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

Current estimate

05 Apr 2027

Key Factors

3 comments

68 forecasters

Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?

5%chance

2% this week