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Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?

98% chance

5

91

91 forecasters

98%chance

What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?

1

146

146 forecasters

Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?

31.5% chance

149

149 forecasters

31.5%chance

Will transit calls in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait be cut by half or more on August 31, 2026 compared to July 2026?

2

2 forecasters

%chance

When will an autonomous machine orchestrator for Manoeuvre, fire, and effects be fielded by a G-20 state?

Dec 2039 (May 2034 - Feb 2048)

7

7 forecasters

Dec 2039

(May 2034 - Feb 2048)

When will an autonomous machine orchestrator for Protection be fielded by a G-20 state?

Apr 2036 (Feb 2032 - Mar 2042)

8

8 forecasters

Apr 2036

(Feb 2032 - Mar 2042)

How many confirmed deaths will be attributed to the US-Israel-Iran war over the course of 2026?

2

2 forecasters

When will an autonomous machine orchestrator for Intelligence be fielded by a G-20 state?

Sep 2031 (26 Mar 2029 - Aug 2035)

7

7 forecasters

Sep 2031

(26 Mar 2029 - Aug 2035)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Cognitive domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

18 Jun 2028 (08 Jul 2027 - 03 Dec 2029)

8

8 forecasters

18 Jun 2028

(08 Jul 2027 - 03 Dec 2029)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Electromagnetic spectrum domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

29 Oct 2030 (23 Nov 2028 - Jun 2034)

9

9 forecasters

29 Oct 2030

(23 Nov 2028 - Jun 2034)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Land domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

Feb 2037 (Aug 2032 - Nov 2042)

8

8 forecasters

Feb 2037

(Aug 2032 - Nov 2042)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Cyber domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

18 Apr 2028 (23 May 2027 - 03 Sep 2029)

8

8 forecasters

18 Apr 2028

(23 May 2027 - 03 Sep 2029)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Space domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

Oct 2045 (Apr 2039 - >Jan 2050)

7

7 forecasters

Oct 2045

(Apr 2039 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine governor for Strategic signalling be fielded by a G-20 state?

>Jan 2050 (>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

6

6 forecasters

>Jan 2050

(>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine governor for Escalation management be fielded by a G-20 state?

>Jan 2050 (May 2047 - >Jan 2050)

7

7 forecasters

>Jan 2050

(May 2047 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine orchestrator for Command and control be fielded by a G-20 state?

>Jan 2050 (>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

6

6 forecasters

>Jan 2050

(>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine governor for Alliance management be fielded by a G-20 state?

>Jan 2050 (>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

6

6 forecasters

>Jan 2050

(>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Maritime domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

Jun 2032 (12 Oct 2029 - May 2037)

8

8 forecasters

Jun 2032

(12 Oct 2029 - May 2037)

When will an autonomous machine governor for Force generation be fielded by a G-20 state?

>Jan 2050 (>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

6

6 forecasters

>Jan 2050

(>Jan 2050 - >Jan 2050)

When will an autonomous machine combatant in the Air domain be fielded by a G-20 state?

26 Jun 2030 (14 Sep 2028 - Nov 2034)

8

8 forecasters

26 Jun 2030

(14 Sep 2028 - Nov 2034)

When will an autonomous machine orchestrator for Information effects be fielded by a G-20 state?

Jul 2037 (Oct 2032 - Dec 2045)

6

6 forecasters

Jul 2037

(Oct 2032 - Dec 2045)

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

15% chance

15

961

961 forecasters

15%chance