• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
75 comments
74 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 17.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?"?

resultNo
2 comments
53 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

16%chance
24% this week
4 comments
32 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance
18% this week
8 comments

Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?

Annulled
8 comments
74 forecasters

When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

Not before 202697%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 20252.7%
1 January 2025 - 31 March 20250.1%
276 comments
669 forecasters

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

resultNo
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

resultNo
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?

61%chance

Contributed by the Sudan Community community.

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

22%chance
53 comments
50 forecasters

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Annulled