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12 comments
62 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025?

99.5%chance
91.9% this week

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
43 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
31 comments
77 forecasters

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

resultNo
0 comments
98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

276 comments
669 forecasters

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

resultNo
0 comments
10 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

52%chance
25% this week
5 comments
100 forecasters

Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

resultNo