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0 comments
84 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments
54 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

17%chance
44% this week
48 comments
202 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

18%chance
4% this week
4 comments
32 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance
18% this week
8 comments

Will Poland and Ukraine settle the Przewodów incident before 2024?

Annulled
24 comments
93 forecasters

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

10%chance
5% this week
8 comments
74 forecasters

When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

Not before 202697.2%
1 October 2025 - 31 December 20252.5%
1 January 2025 - 31 March 20250.1%
1 comment
49 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces secure control of the specified crossroads near Vilne and Kucheriv Yar by August 22, 2025, as indicated by ISW mapping or equivalent criteria?

resultNo
12 comments
31 forecasters

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%
Singaporeresult: Yes
Taiwan70%
53 comments
50 forecasters

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Annulled