• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

11 comment
2
2 forecasters
3 comments
47 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
85 comments
285 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
7% this week
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
57 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

10%chance
5% this week
0 comments
11 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?

50%chance
17% this week
5 comments
100 forecasters

Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

resultNo
9 comments
63 forecasters

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?

10%chance
5% this week