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Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

10%chance

30% this week

4 comments

33 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

10% this week

24 comments

93 forecasters

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

10%chance

4% this week

55 comments

66 forecasters

How many civilian deaths will there be in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024?

Palestinian civilians48.1k

Israeli civilians1418

This question is closed for forecasting.

32 comments

95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

condition

31 forecasters

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Contributed by the Sudan Community community.

0 comments

3 forecasters

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

22%chance

21 comments

48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

resultYes

18 comments

190 forecasters

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

resultNo

46 comments

29 forecasters

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

resultNo

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

How many civilian deaths will there be in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024?

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

How many civilian deaths will there be in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024?

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

US-China war before 2035?

US-China war before 2035?

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?