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Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments

54 forecasters

Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?

17%chance

23% this week

1 comment

8 forecasters

Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?

61%chance

12 comments

31 forecasters

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%

Singaporeresult: Yes

Taiwan70%

Contributed by the Sudan Community community.

0 comments

3 forecasters

Will any of Sudan's seven neighboring countries officially announce a complete border closure with Sudan citing conflict spillover or security concerns before July 1, 2026?

22%chance

53 comments

50 forecasters

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Annulled

32 comments

95 forecasters

Will third countries directly intervene in the Israel-Gaza War before July 2024?

IranAnnulled

LebanonAnnulled

Saudi ArabiaAnnulled

21 comments

48 forecasters

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

resultYes

7 comments

33 forecasters

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

United States32%

Estonia30%

Poland30%

55 comments

66 forecasters

How many civilian deaths will there be in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024?

Palestinian civilians48.1k

Israeli civilians1418

This question is closed for forecasting.