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3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
99 comments
294 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

45%chance
7% this week
0 comments
46 forecasters

Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

85 comments
83 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-10-17 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

resultYes
13 comments
67 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025?

resultYes

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

93.5%chance
8.5% this week
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

19%
19%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
2
2 forecasters
0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.