• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9 comments
43 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

0 comments
80 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-09-26 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

Current estimate
Revealed in 23 minutes
0 comments
84 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

84 comments
81 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?"?

resultYes
75 comments
74 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 17.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?"?

resultNo
75 comments
74 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 12.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?"?

resultYes
48 comments
203 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

18%chance
5% this week
0 comments
87 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

18.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.