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12 comments
61 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025?

99.3%chance
89.3% this week

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 31.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

47.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
40 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
0 comments
98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments
7 forecasters

Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?

65%chance
0 comments
83 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 16.00% on 2025-10-17 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

42%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

8
4646 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
0 comments

By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?