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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

4
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0 comments
88 forecasters

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments
8 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

15%chance
5% this week
12 comments
215 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Current estimate
56.3M birds
10 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.48
Flu9.78
COVID-194.09
32 comments
156 forecasters

How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?

Current estimate
47.3 Deaths
14 comments
25 forecasters

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Current estimate
721 cases
8 comments
73 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate
35.5k deaths
13 comments
18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00