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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0
comments
83
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
88
forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low
78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)
18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)
3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
33
comments
104
forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
47.6 Deaths
12
comments
215
forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Current estimate
56.4M birds
10
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV
3.49
Flu
9.81
COVID-19
3.86
1 other
15
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?
Adults 65+
43
Adults 18+
21.4
Children 6 months to 17 years
11.7
8
comments
74
forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Current estimate
36k deaths
11
comments
15
forecasters
What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US?
Infants < 8 months
50.2
Eligible pregnant women
39.9
Adults 75+
56.9
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