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0 comments
84 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Latest estimate
108k deaths

This question is closed for forecasting.

15 comments
16 forecasters

What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?

H3N281.8
H1N120.4
H5<0.1
17 comments
19 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.52
Flu9.66
COVID-193.53
0 comments
83 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Latest estimate
77.2 cases

This question is closed for forecasting.

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
88 forecasters

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
23 comments
50 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate
75.7 cases
17 comments
22 forecasters

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate59.3%
High28.1%
Low (or lower)9%