0 comments
106 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
109 forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
10%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
88 forecasters
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
97 forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
34 comments
104 forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
47.5 Deaths
9 comments
15 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H1N152.5
H3N242.1
H5<0.1