Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?70% chance855 comments1818 forecasters70%chance
How many New World Screwworm animal cases will be confirmed in the US in 2026?11.3 animal cases (1.44 - 102)0 comments11 forecaster11.3 animal cases (1.44 - 102)
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Will there be any avian influenza human cases in China reported by the WHO before April 1, 2026?result: no104104 comments101101 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the WHO Director-General declare a PHEIC for H5N1 before May 1, 2026?result: no111111 comments110110 forecastersResolvedNo
Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?1% chance35151 comments203203 forecasters1%chance
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?1% chance51818 comments104104 forecasters1%chance
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in 2026?result: yes51717 comments763763 forecastersResolvedYes
Will WHO publish at least one new Disease Outbreak News item about cholera or acute watery diarrhoea before April 30, 2026?result: no120120 comments121121 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the World Health Organization classify an Iran health event before May 1, 2026?result: no120120 comments119119 forecastersResolvedNo
Will CDC report at least one newly identified human infection with a novel influenza A virus in the United States before May 1, 2026?result: no121121 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?result: no172323 comments102102 forecastersResolvedNo
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?22.1% chance20 comments2929 forecasters22.1%chance
Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity50 comments
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?104k (80.3k - 160k)377979 comments218218 forecasters104k (80.3k - 160k)
Will WHO Disease Outbreak News publish a new mpox-related item before May 1, 2026?result: no108108 comments109109 forecastersResolvedNo
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Will CDC’s official U.S. human A(H5N1) case tally increase by at least one before April 30, 2026?result: no126126 comments124124 forecastersResolvedNo
How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?8967 (2609 - 34.2k)744 comments4242 forecasters8967 (2609 - 34.2k)