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54
comments
283
forecasters
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
52%
chance
21
comments
299
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
26%
chance
44
comments
432
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%
chance
251
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
28%
chance
23
comments
413
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
4
comments
15
forecasters
How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?
9
comments
10
forecasters
Will women aged 50 or older birth more than 10,000 children in the US in the following years?
6
comments
34
forecasters
Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?
15%
chance
2
comments
12
forecasters
When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?
Current estimate
Sep 2043
27
comments
210
forecasters
How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?
Current estimate
131 years old
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