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3 comments
41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.5%

Key Factors

4 comments
12 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance
1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
6 comments
7 forecasters

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

6 comments
130 forecasters

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

12 comments
62 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Current estimate
Feb 2051
6 comments
13 forecasters

What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?

Current estimate
51.5%
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance
4 comments
4 forecasters

In the following years, how much energy will be used (in terawatt-hours) by data centers?

205026.2k
20406638
20302126
2 comments
38 forecasters

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%chance
5% this week