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3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.5%
Key Factors
New lithium reserve found in McDermitt Caldera but typically takes years to develop
4
comments
12
forecasters
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
chance
1
comment
28
forecasters
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?
66%
chance
6
comments
7
forecasters
How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?
6
comments
130
forecasters
What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?
12
comments
62
forecasters
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?
Current estimate
Feb 2051
6
comments
13
forecasters
What will be China's share of rare earth production in 2030?
Current estimate
51.5%
1
comment
13
forecasters
Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?
61%
chance
4
comments
4
forecasters
In the following years, how much energy will be used (in terawatt-hours) by data centers?
2050
26.2k
2040
6638
2030
2126
2
comments
38
forecasters
Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?
30%
chance
5%
this week
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