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4 comments
12 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance
1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
12 comments
62 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Current estimate
Feb 2051
6 comments
130 forecasters

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

0 comments
11 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18%chance
7 comments
17 forecasters

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

80%chance
2 comments
38 forecasters

Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?

30%chance
5% this week
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

61%chance
5 comments
66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20%chance