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1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
4 comments
12 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance
1 comment
37 forecasters

Will the U.S. "Microgrid as a Service" (MaaS) market exceed $1.5 billion before 2030?

70%chance
5% this week

Key Factors

5 comments
66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the worldโ€™s energy?

20%chance
1 comment
28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance
7 comments
31 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

5 comments
15 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

18%chance
0 comments
11 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2100?

18%chance
10 comments
102 forecasters

Will Germany fail to meet their coal commissionโ€™s goals?

50%chance
5 comments
11 forecasters

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Current estimate
17.4k GWh