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1 comment
16 forecasters

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

65%chance
16% this week
1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
AMEC30%
8 comments
46 forecasters

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

Crewed spaceflight24.7
Space station visits19.4
Lunar exploration4.7
81 comments
624 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
14 comments
42 forecasters

When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?

Current estimate
02 Jul 2030
75 comments
141 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
>125 billion $
17 comments
36 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

00
2 comments
59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%
NASA25%
CNSA15%
15 comments
165 forecasters

How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

5 comments
7 forecasters

How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?