What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?>125 billion $ (>125 - >125)147575 comments145145 forecasters>125 billion $ (>125 - >125)
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?1969 B USD (794 - 3637)214545 comments103103 forecasters1969 B USD (794 - 3637)
What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?6.06 (3.47 - 9.08)11414 comments1717 forecasters6.06 (3.47 - 9.08)
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?711 comment2424 forecasters
When will a space-based data center first become operational?Jun 2037 (Jun 2032 - May 2046)31616 comments1717 forecastersJun 2037 (Jun 2032 - May 2046)
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?40% chance858484 comments645645 forecasters40%chance
What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?522 comments3434 forecasters
Will a government space agency commence a crewed mission outside of the Earth-Moon system before 2030?1% chance933 comments126126 forecasters1%chance
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?888 comments5050 forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?1011 comment2626 forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?151919 comments171171 forecasters
What will be the total quantity of space debris orbiting earth in each year?799 comments3636 forecasters
Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?10% chance20 comments2525 forecasters10%chance
When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?Aug 2031 (10 Jan 2028 - Feb 2040)844 comments2323 forecastersAug 2031 (10 Jan 2028 - Feb 2040)
To the stars! #1: Will the private investment in laser-sail extra-solar travel be matched by a comparable amount within 5 years?result: no381616 comments170170 forecastersResolvedNo
Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?33% chance50 comments2020 forecasters33%chance
By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?3.3% chance1199 comments5050 forecasters3.3%chance
When will the 1,000th person reach space?Nov 2032 (09 Aug 2029 - Jun 2038)254141 comments182182 forecastersNov 2032 (09 Aug 2029 - Jun 2038)
When will a commercial enterprise put a human in orbit?02 Nov 2019 (16 Mar 2019 - 26 Oct 2020)321616 comments184184 forecasters02 Nov 2019 (16 Mar 2019 - 26 Oct 2020)
When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?14 Sep 2030 (28 Aug 2028 - May 2033)141414 comments4343 forecasters14 Sep 2030 (28 Aug 2028 - May 2033)
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?75% chance11 comment1818 forecasters75%chance
Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?55% chance20 comments1212 forecasters55%chance