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1
comment
17
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
31%
AMEC
30%
1 other
75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
15
comments
165
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
0
comments
25
forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.886 countries
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
1
comment
25
forecasters
What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?
Conventional
90.2%
Air-breathing
2.1%
Thermal rockets
1.2%
6 others
6%
40
comments
99
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
681 B USD
80
comments
621
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
14
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?
community
6.06
result
2.756
83
comments
114
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
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