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US Democracy Index

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How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate

0.987 countries

17 comments

37 forecasters

When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?

82 comments

626 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance

83 comments

115 forecasters

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

1 comment

18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%

Naura35%

Nata30%

0 comments

21 forecasters

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

5%chance

3% this week

8 comments

46 forecasters

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

Crewed spaceflight24.4

Space station visits19.2

Lunar exploration4.85

2 comments

59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%

NASA25%

CNSA15%

75 comments

141 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate

>125 billion $

3 comments

115 forecasters

Will a government space agency commence a crewed mission outside of the Earth-Moon system before 2030?

1%chance