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1
comment
16
forecasters
Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?
65%
chance
16%
this week
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
AMEC
30%
1 other
8
comments
46
forecasters
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
24.7
Space station visits
19.4
Lunar exploration
4.7
81
comments
624
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
14
comments
42
forecasters
When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?
Current estimate
02 Jul 2030
75
comments
141
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
17
comments
36
forecasters
When will the following space agencies launch a crewed mission?
00
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
15
comments
165
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
5
comments
7
forecasters
How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?
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