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1 comment
17 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
AMEC30%
75 comments
140 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
>125 billion $
15 comments
165 forecasters

How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?

0 comments
25 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate
0.886 countries
2 comments
59 forecasters

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

SpaceX65%
NASA25%
CNSA15%
1 comment
25 forecasters

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

Conventional90.2%
Air-breathing2.1%
Thermal rockets1.2%
40 comments
99 forecasters

What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?

Current estimate
681 B USD
80 comments
621 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
14 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?

community
6.06
result
2.756
83 comments
114 forecasters

When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?

00