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75
comments
140
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
1
comment
17
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
31%
AMEC
30%
1 other
2
comments
79
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
80
comments
621
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
35%
chance
5%
this week
15
comments
165
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2
comments
59
forecasters
Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?
SpaceX
65%
NASA
25%
CNSA
15%
2 others
0
comments
47
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
14
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?
community
6.06
result
2.756
83
comments
114
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
5
comments
29
forecasters
In what year will the first private citizen become a permanent off-Earth resident?
Current estimate
Apr 2064
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