Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
5
comments
8
forecasters
How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
Nata
30%
1 other
75
comments
141
forecasters
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
Current estimate
>125 billion $
2
comments
59
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
6
comments
20
forecasters
Which manufacturer's vehicle will return astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore to Earth from the ISS?
One or both remain in space beyond August 30
result:
Yes
Boeing
80.8%
SpaceX
10.4%
2 others
1%
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
1
comment
23
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
1%
chance
14
comments
42
forecasters
When will a free flying commercial space station become operational?
Current estimate
24 Aug 2030
83
comments
115
forecasters
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
00
10
comments
28
forecasters
What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
Current estimate
0.00114%
Load More