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2
comments
7
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
11
comments
14
forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
18%
chance
3
comments
130
forecasters
Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
3%
chance
0
comments
19
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?
75%
chance
22
comments
55
forecasters
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled
56.1%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win
23.5%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million
10.2%
2 others
10%
8
comments
83
forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
9%
chance
26
comments
31
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
8
comments
17
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
80%
chance
0
comments
5
forecasters
What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?
The case is settled
33.2%
Other ruling
23.3%
Disney/Universal win ≥$50m
20.1%
2 others
23%
13
comments
9
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?
Current estimate
24 Oct 2025
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