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16 comments
95 forecasters

How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?

No 2025 ruling64%
Mixed ruling20%
Tariffs unlawful8.1%

Key Factors

1 comment
32 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?

80%chance
5% this week

Key Factors

0 comments
26 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?

35%chance
22 comments
40 forecasters

What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

The case is settled49.6%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win25.3%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million14.9%
8 comments
62 forecasters

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

1%chance
33 comments
30 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
2 comments
46 forecasters

Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?

17 comments
12 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?

Current estimate
18 Dec 2025
11 comments
15 forecasters

Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?

15%chance
12 comments
18 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

82%chance