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1
comment
25
forecasters
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
75%
chance
5%
today
13
comments
137
forecasters
How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?
No 2025 ruling
44.5%
Mixed ruling
24.2%
Tariffs lawful
14.2%
2 others
17%
0
comments
64
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?
35%
chance
33
comments
69
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
11
comments
15
forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
15%
chance
8
comments
99
forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
1%
chance
22
comments
74
forecasters
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled
53.4%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win
22.2%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million
13.1%
2 others
11%
2
comments
45
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
12
comments
18
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
82%
chance
17
comments
12
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?
Current estimate
14 Dec 2025
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