Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
18
comments
100
forecasters
How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?
No 2025 ruling
62%
Mixed ruling
19%
Tariffs unlawful
10%
2 others
9%
Key Factors
Skepticism of justices in first hearing
1
comment
34
forecasters
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
81%
chance
Key Factors
Roberts and Kavanaugh's stance on race policies
Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard (2023)
Alexander v. South Carolina NAACP (2024)
22
comments
40
forecasters
What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
The case is settled
49.5%
OpenAI & Microsoft Win
25.3%
NYT Wins ≥$50 Million
14.8%
2 others
10%
8
comments
62
forecasters
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
1%
chance
11
comments
15
forecasters
Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?
15%
chance
33
comments
30
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
2
comments
10
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
12
comments
19
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
82%
chance
17
comments
12
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, when will it be granted?
Current estimate
21 Dec 2025
14
comments
19
forecasters
Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?
80%
chance
Load More