Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?75% chance211 comment77 forecasters75%chance
Will the following entities enact a liability law before October 1, 2027 for developers of AI systems that hack other systems?66 comments1717 forecasters
Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?37% chance322 comments3939 forecasters37%chance
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?10 comments9797 forecasters
Will the Save Our Bacon Act be enacted into law before July 2027?3% chance333 comments6666 forecasters3%chance
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?133 comments9999 forecasters
Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?60% chance199 comments77 forecasters60%chance
Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?2% chance211 comment3838 forecasters2%chance
Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?1% chance411 comment5555 forecasters1%chance
Will California Assembly Bill 3155 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?result: no233 comments3434 forecastersResolvedNo