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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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Will the United States pass a law setting deadlines on NEPA review before January 1, 2027?

34% chance

3
22 comments
37
37 forecasters
34%chance

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

5.8% chance

2
11 comment
36
36 forecasters
5.8%chance

Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?

1
33 comments
88
88 forecasters

Will California Emissions Reporting Laws SB 253 and SB 261 Be In Effect on September 1, 2026?

50% chance

1
22 comments
9
9 forecasters
50%chance

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

6.7% chance

4
11 comment
53
53 forecasters
6.7%chance

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

1
0 comments
85
85 forecasters

Will California Assembly Bill 3155 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?

result: no

2
33 comments
34
34 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

56% chance

1
99 comments
8
8 forecasters
56%chance

Will There Be National Clean Meat Legislation in the US by Jan 20, 2029?

0 comments
1
1 forecaster