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Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

7 comments
21 forecasters

What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?

Current estimate
56.7%

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
0 comments

What distributions would you like?

9
2828 comments
Metaculus Meta
11 comments
16 forecasters

Is the abc conjecture true?

91%chance