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7 comments
6 forecasters

When will the U.S. Solicitor General file a CVSG brief in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell?

Current estimate
12 Dec 2025
6 comments
8 forecasters

If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be?

Grant certiorari79.8%
Deny certiorari15.2%
Other recommendation5%
33 comments
30 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
6 comments
14 forecasters

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

5%chance
12 comments
18 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

82%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
0 comments
6 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Dec 2035
0 comments
28 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%chance
2 comments
33 forecasters

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%chance

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%