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0
comments
6
forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Dec 2035
26
comments
31
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
8
comments
17
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
80%
chance
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
35
comments
154
forecasters
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
7
comments
40
forecasters
How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?
Current estimate
5.35 animals
3
comments
14
forecasters
Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?
10%
chance
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