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6
comments
14
forecasters
Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?
5%
chance
7
comments
6
forecasters
When will the U.S. Solicitor General file a CVSG brief in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell?
Current estimate
10 Dec 2025
6
comments
46
forecasters
If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be?
Grant certiorari
80%
Deny certiorari
15%
Other recommendation
5%
0
comments
6
forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Dec 2035
33
comments
69
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
12
comments
18
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
82%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
22.8%
chance
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