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6 comments
14 forecasters

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

5%chance
7 comments
6 forecasters

When will the U.S. Solicitor General file a CVSG brief in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell?

Current estimate
10 Dec 2025
6 comments
46 forecasters

If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be?

Grant certiorari80%
Deny certiorari15%
Other recommendation5%
0 comments
6 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Dec 2035
33 comments
69 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
12 comments
18 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

82%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance