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0 comments
6 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Dec 2035
26 comments
31 forecasters

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

50%chance
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
8 comments
17 forecasters

If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?

80%chance

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
35 comments
154 forecasters

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%chance
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance
7 comments
40 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Current estimate
5.35 animals
3 comments
14 forecasters

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

10%chance