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7
comments
6
forecasters
When will the U.S. Solicitor General file a CVSG brief in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell?
Current estimate
12 Dec 2025
6
comments
8
forecasters
If the U.S. Solicitor General files a CVSG brief in Monsanto v. Durnell, what will the recommendation be?
Grant certiorari
79.8%
Deny certiorari
15.2%
Other recommendation
5%
33
comments
30
forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?
50%
chance
6
comments
14
forecasters
Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?
5%
chance
12
comments
18
forecasters
If the U.S. Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell, will it rule in favor of Monsanto?
82%
chance
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
0
comments
6
forecasters
When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?
Current estimate
Dec 2035
0
comments
28
forecasters
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?
80%
chance
2
comments
33
forecasters
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?
60%
chance
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
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