• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
16 comments
108 forecasters

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Europa36%
Mars35%
Enceladus10%
4 comments
41 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

16%chance
4% this week
5 comments
18 forecasters

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%chance
0 comments
47 forecasters

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance
20 comments
20 forecasters

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

Current estimate
0.541 AU
22 comments
199 forecasters

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

52%chance
24 comments
301 forecasters

To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B?

resultNo
61 comments
34 forecasters

Will Planet Nine be discovered before September 30, 2024?

resultNo
18 comments
124 forecasters

A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

resultNo
1 comment
22 forecasters

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

0.2%chance