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12 comments
110 forecasters

Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?

resultNo
8 comments
92 forecasters

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?

0.6%chance
8 comments
16 forecasters

What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

10 comments
45 forecasters

Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?

resultNo
3 comments
46 forecasters

Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?

resultNo
condition

Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025

Resolved:No
40 forecasters
if yes
if no

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
5
22 comments
40
40 forecasters
Superconductor Frontiers
24 comments
161 forecasters

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

resultNo
103 comments
492 forecasters

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

resultNo
19 comments
111 forecasters

Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?

resultYes
98 comments
417 forecasters

Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

resultNo