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8 comments
16 forecasters

What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

10 comments
45 forecasters

Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?

resultNo
3 comments
46 forecasters

Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?

resultNo
24 comments
161 forecasters

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

resultNo
103 comments
492 forecasters

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

resultNo
condition

Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025

Resolved:No
40 forecasters
if yes
if no

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled

Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
5
22 comments
40
40 forecasters
Superconductor Frontiers
9 comments
26 forecasters

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

Current estimate
6.28T eV
19 comments
111 forecasters

Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?

resultYes
98 comments
417 forecasters

Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

resultNo
1 comment
18 forecasters

When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?

Current estimate
>Dec 2039