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8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
10
comments
45
forecasters
Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?
result
No
3
comments
46
forecasters
Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?
result
No
24
comments
161
forecasters
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?
result
No
103
comments
492
forecasters
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
result
No
condition
Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025
Resolved:
No
40
forecasters
if yes
if no
Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?
5%
5%
Resolved:
Annulled
Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025?
0%
0%
Resolved:
No
5
2
2
comments
40
40
forecasters
Superconductor Frontiers
9
comments
26
forecasters
What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?
Current estimate
6.28T eV
19
comments
111
forecasters
Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?
result
Yes
98
comments
417
forecasters
Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
result
No
1
comment
18
forecasters
When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?
Current estimate
>Dec 2039
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