Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
8
comments
16
forecasters
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
3
comments
46
forecasters
Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?
result
No
24
comments
161
forecasters
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?
result
No
103
comments
492
forecasters
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
result
No
19
comments
111
forecasters
Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?
result
Yes
98
comments
417
forecasters
Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?
result
No
1
comment
18
forecasters
When will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor first be used in a medical MRI?
Current estimate
>Dec 2039
8
comments
92
forecasters
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
0.6%
chance
19
comments
125
forecasters
Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021?
result
No
15
comments
127
forecasters
Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?
1%
chance
Load More