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0 comments

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette JaraUpcoming
José Antonio KastUpcoming
Evelyn MattheiUpcoming
8 comments
13 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara65%
José Antonio Kast20%
Evelyn Matthei3.5%
82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

17
66 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
60 comments
318 forecasters

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

3%chance
25 comments
102 forecasters

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1%chance

Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras

11
33 comments

Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series

7
0 comments

2024 Election Hub Update

20
44 comments

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
11 comment
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