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82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
1
comment
11
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
62%
José Antonio Kast
31%
Evelyn Matthei
9%
5 others
21
comments
93
forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?
Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Lisa Nandy
10%
6 others
60
comments
318
forecasters
Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?
3%
chance
25
comments
103
forecasters
Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?
1%
chance
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
Forecast on Bryan Caplan's Bets in New Series
7
0
comments
2024 Election Hub Update
20
4
4
comments
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting
21
1
1
comment
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