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4
comments
4
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)
Labour Party
139
Conservative Party
64.1
Liberal Democrats
59.4
4 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
17
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
32
comments
84
forecasters
Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election?
K. Starmer (Labour)
result:
Yes
W. Streeting (Labour)
Annulled
A. Burham (Labour)
Annulled
14 others
68
comments
112
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?
Labour
result:
411
Conservative
result:
121
Liberal Democrat
result:
72
8 others
26
comments
70
forecasters
Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024?
result
Yes
5
comments
70
forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
Forecast International Elections With Data Journalist Kiko Llaneras
11
3
3
comments
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting
21
1
1
comment
Metaculus Journal Archives
Public Figures: New Figure Suggestions
34
183
183
comments
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
0
comments
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
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