20 comments
65 forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?
Angela Rayner25%
Keir Starmer23%
Andy Burnham15%
32 comments
84 forecasters
Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election?
K. Starmer (Labour)result: Yes
W. Streeting (Labour)Annulled
A. Burham (Labour)Annulled
5 comments
70 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
This question is closed for forecasting.
68 comments
112 forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?
Labourresult: 411
Conservativeresult: 121
Liberal Democratresult: 72
26 comments
70 forecasters
Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024?
resultYes