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5 comments
59 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

9%chance
5% this week
7 comments
63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
3% this week
5 comments
46 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
10 comments
65 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No
27 comments
54 forecasters

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

85%chance
11 comments
27 forecasters

How many seats will the Identity and Democracy (ID) party win in the 2024 European parliamentary elections?

community
70.7
result
Annulled
25 comments
26 forecasters

Which alliance will form the 2024 EU Commission?

EPP + S&D + REAnnulled
EPP + S&D + RE + G/EFAAnnulled
EPP + S&D + G/EFAAnnulled