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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
5 comments
89 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

3%chance

Key Factors

2 comments
34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
IDresult: No
5 comments
48 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

50%chance
10 comments
66 forecasters

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

67 comments
967 forecasters

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.1%chance
11 comments
27 forecasters

How many seats will the Identity and Democracy (ID) party win in the 2024 European parliamentary elections?

community
70.7
result
Annulled
7 comments
64 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance
5 comments
11 forecasters

When will these countries adopt the Euro?

00
0 comments
12 forecasters

Will visits by a US President to EU member states fall below 1 visit/year for a period of at least three years before 2051?

17%chance
3 comments
33 forecasters

Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections?

EPPresult: Yes
S&Dresult: No
Renewresult: No