Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

US Democracy Index

AI Forecasting Benchmark

POTUS Predictions

categories

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Artificial Intelligence

See all categories

138 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic66.2%

No Prime Minister13.9%

Other6.8%

Key Factors

102 forecasters

Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?

10%chance

5% this week

Key Factors

13 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

25%chance

Key Factors

80 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

4%chance

3% this week

Key Factors

164 forecasters

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%chance

34 forecasters

Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?

EPPresult: Yes

S&Dresult: No

IDresult: No

47 forecasters

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

51%chance

63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance

European Army before 2032?

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Date EU Ceases to Exist?

2

2

2 forecasters

12 forecasters

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

86%chance