0 comments
41 forecasters
Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?
Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
15 comments
16 forecasters
When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?
0082 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
2 comments
35 forecasters
Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
25%chance
10% this week
13 comments
35 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10%chance
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
38 comments
80 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203060%
204040%
205033%
0 comments
156 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
33%chance