82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
3 comments
115 forecasters
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
18%chance
12% this week
8 comments
40 forecasters
Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?
8%chance
Key Factors
29 comments
1.2k forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
2%chance
Key Factors
73 comments
314 forecasters
Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?
Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
38 comments
64 forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
16 comments
38 forecasters
Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?
Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?
8%chance