418 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
584 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
82 comments
235 forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
9 comments
303 forecasters
Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?
18%chance
4% this week
3 comments
39 forecasters
Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?
48%chance
8% this week
60 comments
317 forecasters
Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?
3%chance
29 comments
80 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
203063%
204040%
205040%